Is Pakistan the Next Target After Iran? Regional Threats, Military Readiness & Strategic Analysis

Is Pakistan the Next Target After Iran? Regional Threats, Military Preparedness, and Strategic Outlook

On February 28, 2026, Israel and the United States launched large-scale attacks on Iran, targeting Tehran and other strategic locations. The operation was reportedly aimed at weakening Iran’s nuclear program and military capabilities. These strikes not only destabilized the Middle East but also raised questions in South Asia about whether Pakistan could face potential threats next.

Pakistan’s strategic geographic location and robust military make it a key player in the region. It is the only Muslim-majority country with nuclear weapons, which adds to its significance. Its strong armed forces and modern defense systems make it capable of maintaining border security and national sovereignty, deterring any direct military intervention by external powers.

Pakistan has long expressed concerns about armed groups operating from Afghanistan, particularly the Tehrik-i-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), which carry out cross-border attacks. In February 2026, Pakistan conducted air and ground operations across Afghan territory, including Kabul, Kandahar, and Paktia, to disrupt terrorist activities and neutralize threats. The United States acknowledged Pakistan’s right to self-defense, while international organizations continue to urge peaceful negotiations and de-escalation.

Complicating matters further, India and Afghanistan have strengthened strategic ties, including security cooperation and economic partnerships. Pakistan accuses India of supporting proxy groups against it via Afghan territory, fueling terrorism and instability. India denies these claims and maintains that it supports Afghan sovereignty and security.

Pakistan’s primary challenge remains internal security and border management. Maintaining strong domestic security and a capable military ensures the country can withstand external pressures and regional tensions.

In May 2025, Pakistan and India engaged in intense skirmishes following an incident in Kashmir. Over a span of just 40 minutes, Pakistan’s air and ground forces reportedly downed six Indian aircraft, including three Rafales, one Su-30MKI, one Mirage 2000, and one MiG-29. This operation highlighted Pakistan’s air superiority, rapid response capability, and strategic resilience, preserving regional balance. A ceasefire followed days later, allowing renewed diplomatic efforts for peace.

The attacks on Iran by Israel and the U.S. have further destabilized South Asia and the broader Middle East. The effects of past operations in Iraq, Syria, and the broader region continue to influence the geopolitical environment. Pakistan, while not directly involved in these conflicts, must strengthen its internal and border security to mitigate potential spillover effects.

From Pakistan’s perspective, the nation is not only defending its population but also holds a unique role in the Muslim world as a nuclear-armed state. Its military is among the strongest in the region and can respond effectively to emerging threats.

The most critical focus for Pakistan should be on internal security, political stability, and diplomatic relations. While military operations are necessary for defense, lasting peace requires strategic dialogue, domestic reforms, and regional cooperation. Pakistan must balance defense readiness with diplomacy to maintain regional stability.

Given current tensions—Iran strikes, cross-border militancy from Afghanistan, India’s strategic maneuvers, and the May 2025 India-Pakistan skirmishes—Pakistan faces a complex security landscape. However, with measured strategy, strong armed forces, and nuclear deterrence, the country remains capable of managing these challenges.

In conclusion, Pakistan is a strong, independent, nuclear-capable nation that plays a pivotal role in the Muslim world. Its robust military, strategic position, and commitment to regional stability enable it to protect its population while contributing to peace and security in South Asia.